Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 49.903704 57.388289 65.101132 73.607025 82.689858 92.066556 102.446839
2026-01-25 38.867014 49.500157 61.025384 74.294358 89.009638 104.704913 122.591813
2026-02-01 31.520013 43.656606 57.346943 73.617143 92.143071 112.335697 135.777450
2026-02-08 26.275200 39.410122 54.778898 73.554050 95.405535 119.639980 148.181462
2026-02-15 21.702169 35.346735 51.906760 72.673218 97.330215 125.099598 158.213152
2026-02-22 18.856589 33.074784 50.889507 73.719701 101.265192 132.662542 170.460295
2026-03-01 16.613116 31.309792 50.283881 75.080497 105.421529 140.363182 182.766674
2026-03-08 13.788088 28.414169 47.989985 74.156100 106.679340 144.558585 190.926313
2026-03-15 11.136319 25.425126 45.324538 72.559542 106.955623 147.467389 197.478819
2026-03-22 10.402676 25.222999 46.333705 75.601731 112.880550 157.045749 211.806257
2026-03-29 9.302795 24.309056 46.276424 77.196380 116.965860 164.396666 223.496516
2026-04-05 7.703870 22.364348 44.634762 76.604832 118.239119 168.310050 231.081563
2026-04-12 6.312571 20.584245 43.128430 76.140538 119.659677 172.420853 238.951544
2026-04-19 5.316804 19.361767 42.349144 76.595136 122.209769 177.884339 248.427200
2026-04-26 4.223114 17.735828 40.835880 75.950768 123.278193 181.481944 255.625767
2026-05-03 3.395229 16.475554 39.786622 75.878547 125.035302 185.890095 263.771674
2026-05-10 2.557045 14.962904 38.215284 74.983940 125.654333 188.843191 270.123681
2026-05-17 2.129592 14.336339 38.037851 76.048247 128.833266 194.970057 280.319154
2026-05-24 1.798168 13.874671 38.097694 77.432437 132.423163 201.604530 291.131813
2026-05-31 1.253855 12.571471 36.616238 76.492193 132.858817 204.243814 297.041024
2026-06-07 0.766360 11.117951 34.735005 74.868070 132.308233 205.590716 301.328389
2026-06-14 0.729237 11.376132 35.979050 77.962555 138.177253 215.094053 315.662449
2026-06-21 0.590581 11.129741 36.262408 79.584238 142.030496 222.031572 326.837169